Since this simulation is about luck in my opinion seed no. 1 and 2 deserve more security since they finished at no. 1 and 2. If no. 1 loses to no. 4 then thats unfair for no. 1 because after all the wins they get knocked out so cheaply. I suggest this.
First match: South 1 v South 2 (loser in this match versus winner in other match, winner goes onto next round)
Second Match: South 4 v South 3 (loser in this match gets knocked out)
For example if South 1 beat South 2 then South 1 qualify. South 2 would have to beat the winner from second match to qualify. I reckon this method is better as it rewards the top teams for doing well throughout the whole season.
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